Bayesian Nonlinear Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Models with Stochastic Volatility


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Documentation for package ‘bayesianOU’ version 0.2.0

Help Pages

build_accounting_block Build accounting block for TMG
build_beta_tmg_table Build beta(TMG_t) table by sector and time
compare_models_loo Compare models using PSIS-LOO
count_divergences Count HMC divergences
drift_decomposition_grid Drift decomposition over grid
evaluate_oos Evaluate out-of-sample forecast metrics
evaluate_oos_nested Out-of-sample forecast metrics for the 2-level nested model
export_model_comparison Export model comparison to Excel
extract_convergence_evidence Mean-reversion (dynamic stability) evidence for kappa parameters
extract_mu_trajectory Latent Level-2 mean trajectory mu_t = m0_s + m1 * G'_t
extract_posterior_summary Extract posterior summary from fitted model
fit_ou_nested Fit the unified nonlinear OU model: single-level or 2-level nested
fit_ou_nested_mi Fit the nested OU model under multiple imputation of the market price
fit_ou_nonlinear_tmg Fit Bayesian nonlinear OU model with TMG effect and SV (single-level)
kappa_stability_evidence Mean-reversion (dynamic stability) evidence for kappa parameters
ou_geom_bridge Bridge a methods-enabled cmdstan model to the geometry engine
ou_geom_hmc Static Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with a pluggable geometry
ou_geom_metric_euclidean Euclidean (constant) metric for the geometry engine
ou_geom_metric_riemannian Riemannian (position-dependent) metric for the geometry engine
ou_geom_target Build a geometry-engine sampling target
ou_level_spec Named per-level richness configurations for the comparative experiment
ou_nested_stan_code Stan code for the unified nonlinear OU model
plot.ou_nested_2level Plot a 2-level nested OU fit
plot.ou_nested_mi Plot a multiple-imputation nested OU fit
plot_beta_tmg Plot beta(TMG_t) evolution by sector
plot_drift_curves Plot cubic OU drift curves
plot_sv_evolution Plot stochastic volatility evolution
print.ou_nested_2level Print a 2-level nested OU fit
print.ou_nested_mi Print a multiple-imputation nested OU fit
print.summary.ou_nested_2level Summarize a 2-level nested OU fit
print.summary.ou_nested_mi Summarize a multiple-imputation nested OU fit
summarize_sv_sigmas Summarize stochastic volatility sigmas
summary.ou_nested_2level Summarize a 2-level nested OU fit
summary.ou_nested_mi Summarize a multiple-imputation nested OU fit
validate_ou_fit Validate OU model fit
zscore_train Z-score standardization using training period statistics